Estate mapInvestor view

Ferntree Ridge · Drouin, Victoria

Early preview

Invest in what the land becomes

Point at a parcel. See how many lots it can hold, what they cost to deliver, what they sell for and what you can afford to pay, then walk the finished estate in 3D. Worked example: Ferntree Ridge Stage 12.

Stage 12 footprint before development

Ferntree Ridge Stage 12 draft visualisation: streets, lots and homes from above

Stage 12 draft visualisation, illustrative only

Step 1

A paddock on the edge of Drouin

2.90 ha

Site purchase
$3.50m
Per gross hectare
$1.21m
Stamp duty and legals
$223k

What most people see: grass, a fence line and a price per hectare.

Indicative only; placeholder inputs until the developer's figures are loaded

Acquisitions v0 · early preview

What could this parcel return, and what should we pay?

Start from Stage 12 (filled in), then change the site, density and costs for any parcel you're looking at.

Indicative only; placeholder inputs until the developer's figures are loaded

100%

Of the site, after arterial roads, encumbered land and regional open space. Stage 12 is a stage of an estate, so 100%

12.4 per net developable ha

Lots per hectare of net developable area, local streets and reserves included. On lot area alone: 15.8 per ha

Rules of thumb and guideline figures only; confirm against the planning scheme and any precinct structure plan.

78.7%

Of the net developable area; sets the average lot at 633 m²

$124k per lot

Civil works, contingency, consultants and contributions; excludes land, stamp duty, open space, holding, selling and finance

$540 per m²

Incl. GST. $342k on a 633 m² average lot; smaller lots sell for less

20%

Residual land value

$3.86m

The most you could pay and still make 20% on cost. $363k above the land cost entered.

Yield
36 lots
2.90 net developable ha · 633 m² avg
Total cost
$9.20m
$256k per lot
Revenue (incl. GST)
$12.3m
36 × $342k
Profit
$2.29m
after GST (margin scheme assumed)
Margin on cost
24.9%
target 20%
Land per lot
$97k
$1.21m per ha

What you could pay, if prices and costs move

Residual land value. Blue is above your land cost, red below.

Price ↓
Cost →
−10%
0%
+10%
+10%
$5.18m44%
$4.72m36%
$4.26m30%
0%
$4.32m32%
$3.86m25%
$3.40m19%
−10%
$3.47m20%
$3.01m13%
$2.55m8%

Checked against Stage 12

With Stage 12's inputs, this whole-site model matches the lot-by-lot feasibility on the Stage feasibility tab to within a few thousand dollars: the lot-by-lot prices are rounded to the nearest $1,000, here it's the exact price per m² times the average lot.

This modelLot by lotDifference
Lots3636none
Total development cost$9,201,757$9,201,681+$76
Revenue (incl. GST)$12,296,178$12,294,000+$2,178
Profit (after GST)$2,294,768$2,292,864+$1,904
Residual land value$3,863,123$3,861,614+$1,509

Coming next in acquisitions

  • Any parcel. Draw or pick a parcel; the zoning, overlays and precinct structure plan density are read in.
  • Concept layout. An automatic lot and street layout gives the yield, checked against the same rules as the builder view.
  • Measured earthworks. Drone LiDAR gives cut, fill and retaining from the real ground, not allowances.
  • Built form in 3D. The finished estate in photoreal 3D, walkable on a phone, for investors and buyers.
  • Portfolio. Compare parcels and stages side by side across a pipeline.